“I’m saying the shape of events recurs. The names change—Caesar, Napoleon, Yamamoto—but the hesitation before a gamble, the way generals lie to themselves about supply lines… that’s not contingent. That’s samsara of strategy.”

“You see this?” Mathur tapped a 1942 map of the Pacific. “The Battle of Midway. Six months after Pearl Harbor. The coral reefs turned on their own—oil slicks, burning carriers. Pure contingency. A few hundred meters of ocean decided the 20th century.”

“Alright,” he said. “Let’s try it your way. Tell me about the shape of the Cold War.”

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